Residential Burglaries and Robberies in Pasadena Are Down, Sex Assaults, Car Break-Ins and Vehicle Thefts Are Up

first_img Make a comment Public Safety Residential Burglaries and Robberies in Pasadena Are Down, Sex Assaults, Car Break-Ins and Vehicle Thefts Are Up By BRIAN DAY Published on Thursday, September 3, 2020 | 2:51 pm Pasadena year-to-date crime statistics as of August 2020. Credit: Pasadena Police DepartmentReports of car burglaries, vehicle thefts, and sexual assaults have shown significant increases in Pasadena this year, while incidents of home burglaries and robberies have declined, according to statistics released by police on Thursday.Much of this year’s crime trends appear to have been shaped, in part, by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, said Pasadena police Lt. William Grisafe.Residential burglaries this year have declined by 17 percent, as of the end of August, compared with 2019, which went from 209 to 174 reported incidents, according to the data. Grisafe attributed the decrease to the fact that people are staying home much more of the time.But at the same time, auto thefts and car burglaries have surged, “likely because of COVID as well,” Grisafe said. People are not using their vehicles as much, he said.Reports of stolen vehicles shot up 49 percent this year, from 149 to 222, according to the statistics. Burglaries of cars rose by 35 percent.Grisafe urged the public to avoid leaving items in unattended cars, decreasing the likelihood of being the target of a crime of opportunity.“If something is left in the car, thieves will take the opportunity to steal it,” he said. “Even something as simple as sunglasses.”He added that thieves take notice when vehicles sit parked for long periods of time and may target them as easy prey for burglary or theft.Domestic violence reports were down by 14 percent, but officials worried that might not reflect what’s actually happening behind closed doors amid stay-at-home orders.“There’s a concern that they are not getting reported,” Grisafe said.Reports of rape nearly doubled from 17 in 2019 to 32 this year, the data shows.Grisafe said a reason was not clear, especially considering the recent closure of bars and nightclubs, which often play a role in sexual assaults.But he pointed out that the figures are based on reports of crimes, not their outcomes. At least several of the reported rapes were ultimately determined to be unfounded reports made by people suffering from mental health issues.Commercial burglaries were up 12 percent and burglaries listed as “other,” such as those involving storage lockers, parking structures, and other locations that are neither businesses nor residences, were up by 44 percent.Homicides remained stable with two cases, the data shows.Robberies were down by 13 percent, continuing a steady downward trend over the past four years. Compared with 2017, robberies declined by 45 percent.Grisafe said he suspected the downward trend in robberies was a result of solid work by officers, as well as the public becoming increasingly alert and aware of their surroundings, reducing opportunities to be taken off-guard by a robber.Overall reported crimes in the city increased by 6 percent. Name (required)  Mail (required) (not be published)  Website  30 recommended0 commentsShareShareTweetSharePin it faithfernandez More » ShareTweetShare on Google+Pin on PinterestSend with WhatsApp,Virtual Schools PasadenaHomes Solve Community/Gov/Pub SafetyPasadena Public WorksPasadena Water and PowerPASADENA EVENTS & ACTIVITIES CALENDARClick here for Movie Showtimes Subscribe Get our daily Pasadena newspaper in your email box. Free.Get all the latest Pasadena news, more than 10 fresh stories daily, 7 days a week at 7 a.m. More Cool Stuff Herbeauty8 Easy Exotic Meals Anyone Can MakeHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty12 Most Breathtaking Trends In Fashion HistoryHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyBohemian Summer: How To Wear The Boho Trend RightHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyHere Is What Scientists Say Will Happen When You Eat AvocadosHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyInstall These Measures To Keep Your Household Safe From Covid19HerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty15 Countries Where Men Have Difficulties Finding A WifeHerbeautyHerbeauty Business Newscenter_img CITY NEWS SERVICE/STAFF REPORT Pasadena Will Allow Vaccinated People to Go Without Masks in Most Settings Starting on Tuesday STAFF REPORT Pasadena’s ‘626 Day’ Aims to Celebrate City, Boost Local Economy Community News EVENTS & ENTERTAINMENT | FOOD & DRINK | THE ARTS | REAL ESTATE | HOME & GARDEN | WELLNESS | SOCIAL SCENE | GETAWAYS | PARENTS & KIDS Community News STAFF REPORT First Heatwave Expected Next Week Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Top of the News Home of the Week: Unique Pasadena Home Located on Madeline Drive, Pasadenalast_img read more

New challenges as Fitzpatrick steps into the breach

first_imgNewsBreaking newsNew challenges as Fitzpatrick steps into the breachBy Rose Rushe – January 9, 2014 859 WhatsApp He is advising on new structures and process to see through the 2014 vision for Limerick’s designation. He also referenced the many projects in train already that he will shepherd on a pro-temp basis.“We are determined to make this project a success and I’ve been happy to share in this collaborative experience,” Dr Fitzpatrick said.Vice chair Tim O’Connor welcomed the helpful new relationship between “two public state institutions”“Many artists are very excited that we are going to play such a central role, and I’ve always been a great champion of the arts in Limerick”, Fitzpatrick continued. He underlined to their welcome support for “the work and endeavours of the board as well”.President of LIT colleges, Dr Maria HinfelaarHis experience and ability to lead are widely recognised as is an open, friendly manner throughout his career – in heading up Limerick City Gallery of Arts, in EVA International projects such as the Bienniel and in recent years, LSAD, one of the world’s top 50 in its field.“It’s not just a year long thing. I don’t see this as a singular project. We are leading the way to European City of Culture 2020″, he concluded at the press call.Questions outstandingFOR all the goodwill engendered by LIT’s advisory role in improved governance/ delivery to the board, there were few definitive responses to press on what lies ahead. Chairperson Pat Cox couched the new terms of reference: “We want to get it right rather than early”.Will the new artistic director will answer directly to the board?Mike Fitzpatrick: “The role [as interim head] as I see it is to have the best structures to put in place. I will get back to the board next week with a plan”.Are the appointments in train?Pat Cox: “In addition to dealing with the multiple sequential events of the past four days and the tsunami of press requests, the board has not got into those details yet. The board will meet on January 17, the first time we will have to reflect on Mike’s recommendations”.Will the new appointment be a dual role of artistic director and chief executive?Pat Cox: “One option is the dual role. My answer to that is an educated ‘don’t know’.There is talk of Limerick arts officer Sheila Deegan having an elevated role?Pat  Cox: “I don’t want to prematurely comment. We have not got into detail yet about the principals to the role. Mike Fitzpatrick will meet with the city council to look at roles, be they interim or not. We want to assure the artistic community in Limerick that what was promised will be done”Limerick arts officer Sheila Deegan, who did the spadework with Kieran Lehane, then director of services for CultureHow will the arts and culture sector board member be appointed?Pat Cox: “It is up to the grassroots to name another director, by selection or election, whatever process they wish. They can decide on someone from inside or outside Limerick. It is entirely at their own choice”.How soon will new appointments be in place?Pat Cox: “Mike Fitzpatrick is to scan the horizon.. discuss with us what needs to be done. This is to be as substantial as is necessary  – there is no timeline on that”. Previous articleThey might be giantsNext articleHome quarter final & contracts remain in balance Rose Rushehttp://www.limerickpost.ieCommercial Features and Arts Editor at Limerick Post by Rose RusheSign up for the weekly Limerick Post newsletter Sign Up ALONG with the appointment of LIT Limerick School of Art and Design head Michael Fitzpatrick to lead the City of Culture project on an interim basis, the board announced a broadening of membership to include local arts and political representatives.The decisions were made at an emergency board meeting held last Monday 6 night to accelerate staff appointments and programming.At a press conference on Tuesday, Chairman Pat Cox confirmed that three positions on the board had been set aside for directors from the arts and culture sector. There will be a director appointed on the advice of the pillar groups; one put forward by the chairpersons of the pillar groups, of which there are six, and a third place for Fitzpatrick on completion of his term as interim head.Following a meeting with city and county councils on Tuesday morning, new roles were announced for Mayor Kathleen Leddin and County Council Cathaoirleach Kevin Sheahan with respect to inclusion in City of Culture policy on the board.Tim O’Connor, outgoing chairman of The Gathering, has been appointed vice-chair.Left, vice chair Tim O’Connor with Minister for Arts Jimmy Deenihan and Finance Minister Michael NoonanOn the troubled issue of stalled funding, Pat Cox said “that the board is pleased to announce that later afternoon yesterday Minister for Arts Jimmy Deenihan and Conn Murray had signed off [on heads of agreement].. on a key step to the generous funding provided”.The beleaguered chairman extended his appreciation for the “overwhelming offers of support in this time of crisis in recent days and along with other offers of encouragement, we look forward to taking them up”.He made specific reference to looking to the business community’s response and “offers of sponsorship”.Cox expressed gratitude to LIT president Maria Hinfelaar and LSAD’s Mike Fitzpatrick for “stepping up to the mark” and their sense of “civic leadership”.He also thanked outgoing chief executive Patricia Ryan for her “selfless dedication to the project” and “the dignified way” that she responded, continuing to work with the project to ensure a smooth handover.The long run and ‘legacy’It emerged that LIT’s Drs Hinfelaar and Fitzpatrick had been working City of Culture from the outset, and initiated collaboration for the LSAD head’s secondment out of a sense of “ownership” to the project. 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Sea.Hear.Now Festival Reveals Full 2019 Lineup: Dispatch, PPPP, Marcus King Band, Blind Melon, More

first_imgSea.Hear.Now Festival will return to the Jersey Shore for its second year this September. The beachside event will take place at North Beach Asbury Park and Bradley Park in on September 21st & 22nd led by previously announced headliners Dave Matthews Band and The Lumineers.Today, Sea.Hear.Now has announced the rest of the lineup for the 2019 event including Dropkick Murphys, Dispatch, Rainbow Kitten Surprise, Joan Jett & The Blackhearts, The B-52s, The Struts, Sharon Van Etten, Pigeons Playing Ping Pong, The Marcus King Band, Matt and Kim, Jade Bird, Fantastic Negrito, and Steel Pulse, just to name a few.As per tradition with the beachfront music festival, there will also be a surfing element to this year’s event. Some of this year’s water-based athletes who will hit the waves at this year’s festival include Balaram Stack, Sam Hammer, Rob Kelly, Mike Gleason, Pat Schmidt, Cassidy McClain, and Autumn Hays.According to the announcement press release, 2-Day VIP tickets packages are already sold out, but a very limited number of 2-Day GA tickets are still available for purchase. Fans interested in attending this year’s event can click here for more info on remaining ticket packages.last_img read more

Jenkins appoints new dean of architecture

first_imgStefanos Polyzoides was appointed to be the new dean of the University’s School of Architecture by University President Fr. John Jenkins effective July 1, a University press release announced Tuesday.Polyzoides is currently co-founder of the Congress for the New Urbanism (CNU) and a partner in Moule & Polyzoides Architects and Urbanists, which has completed more than 700 projects since 1990.“Stefanos brings to Notre Dame an international reputation for architectural work informed by tradition and moral purpose,” Jenkins said in the release. “He brings together design, the realities of urban living and sustainable development to produce buildings that serve communities and humanity. His leadership will enrich our School of Architecture.”Along with several colleagues, Polyzoides developed a set of standards for community land use and architectural planning known as the Ahwahnee Principles in 1991.“The 15 principles — which stress walkability, sustainability, diversity and neighborhood and district design — laid the groundwork for the 1993 founding of the CNU, which today includes more than 3,000 members who promote integrated development through education, legislation and planning,” the release said.Earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees in architecture from Princeton University, Polyzoides has lived in Southern California since 1973. He is a registered architect in California, Arizona, New Mexico, Florida and Texas.Polyzoides said he is deeply honored to be serving as the next dean in the School of Architecture.“In recent years, I have come to believe that this may well be the single institution in our country that prepares its students to address the diverse acute needs of our time,”Polyzoides said.  “Not satisfied with teaching skills alone, the school professes an architecture and urbanism that is centered on human values, personal responsibility and community contribution.”Tags: architecture, School of Architecture, University President Fr. John Jenkinslast_img read more

Fishing the North Coast: Winter steelhead season set to take off

first_imgFor North Coast river anglers, the past couple weeks were spent waiting on the rain – as well as the arrival of the winter steelhead. Well, we now have both. The latest storms delivered a much more powerful punch than predicted, especially to the Smith and Chetco. Both rivers peaked at well over 20,000 cfs, and got the flushing they badly needed. Here in Humboldt, all of the rivers rose to their highest levels of the winter.And plenty more is on the way. The storms predicted for Sunday and …last_img read more

Markets watching the frost and Sept. 12

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest By Doug Tenney, Leist MercantileDeclining grain prices continued that trend into the first week of September. December 2019 CBOT corn made a new contract low of $3.53, over a dollar below the contract high of $4.73 from June 17. Kansas City wheat reached a 14-year low that same week. Chicago December CBOT wheat tumbled to $4.50 ½, well below its summer high reached in June of $5.65 ¾ and its contract high at $6.34 ½ established in August 2018. The contract low for December wheat was reached May 13 at $4.42 ¼. While U.S. corn and soybean production for this year falls below levels seen in 2017 and 2018, plentiful and ever-increasing world stocks of grains continues to keep prices on the defensive. U.S. grain exports face stiff and growing competition from other world suppliers. Early September, South American and Black Sea corn sale values were 15 to 45 cents per bushel below those from the U.S. Gulf for shipment this fall and into December.U.S. temperatures in early September reached into the 40s in the northern Corn Belt states. While temperatures are cooling and 6- to10-day forecasts indicate normal to above normal temperatures, there continue to be no frost threats into September 20. The market will aggressively monitor northern U.S. temperatures through Oct. 10.  Here’s why. In early September there were 53 million U.S. corn acres not yet in the dent stage. In addition, 10 million soybean acres had not yet begun to set pods. It will indeed be a race to the finish for U.S. corn and soybeans to reach maturity before a killing frost.An EPA announcement in August granted small refinery exemptions (SREs) for 31 small refineries. This announcement allowed those refineries to not include ethanol in their gasoline blends. This is not the first exemption granted by this administration, with previous exemptions dating back to 2016-2017. It is extremely troubling to producers as they quickly see demand destruction for corn. Using corn to produce ethanol, also known as a renewable fuel has been around for 30 years. Plant expansion was particularly evident in the past 10 years all across the Midwest. Producers made cropping and equipment decisions based on the continued use of ethanol. We have seen E15 and E85 Ethanol stations spring up across the Midwest the last 10 years. However, the number is significantly less than had been expected in past years. While we have seen several new weekly records for corn used for ethanol in the past 18 months, the ethanol line in the supply and demand tables has been shrinking in recent months.Corn demand for the 2019-2020 marketing year (September 2019 to August 2020) continues to shrink. The August WASDE report had corn exports of 2.050 billion bushels, down from 2.275 billion bushels in the May WASDE report, a cut of 225 million bushels.  In August, corn used for ethanol stood at 5.475 billion bushels, down 25 million bushels from May. Sept. 12 projections suggest U.S. corn demand will see further cuts in the months ahead.The U.S. and China each implemented another set of tariffs against each other on Sept. 1. Late August, the Commerce Department in China indicated they wanted to see the trade deal get finalized as the current tariffs are affecting their economy. The U.S. continues to insist China wants trade meetings to take place. Yet, at times little is heard from China concerning their next steps. In the days following Labor Day, it was announced the U.S. and China would be meeting in early October. Perhaps the caterer for lunch at these meetings thinks he has a pretty good gig, as the October meetings would be the thirteenth time the two have met. Ongoing unrest for China in Hong Kong perhaps suggests China has gains to come up with a trade deal.Expect corn and soybean harvest to last well into late November.last_img read more

Prince Eze out of the NCAA MVP race

first_imgTrump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes PLAY LIST 01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:12San Beda, Lyceum early favorites ahead of NCAA Season 9300:50Trending Articles01:37Protesters burn down Iran consulate in Najaf01:47Panelo casts doubts on Robredo’s drug war ‘discoveries’01:29Police teams find crossbows, bows in HK university01:35Panelo suggests discounted SEA Games tickets for students02:49Robredo: True leaders perform well despite having ‘uninspiring’ boss02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. SPORTSSEA Games: Philippines picks up 1st win in men’s water poloSPORTSMalditas save PH from shutoutBut his candidacy came to a screeching halt owing to the league’s ruling disallowing players from non-Final Four teams from staking their claim for the MVP plum.The last non-Final Four player to win the highest individual award was St. Benilde’s Jay Sagad in Season 81 back in 2005 after the Blazers finished sixth out of eight teams with their 5-9 record. That instance prompted the NCAA to change its rules and give premium to players who led their team to the Final Four to win the MVP award. Photo by Tristan Tamayo/ INQUIRER.netPrince Eze may be leading the Most Valuable Player race, but he won’t get the award at the end of the season.The Nigerian big man’s hopes of claiming NCAA Season 93 MVP award was dashed after Perpetual’s 55-50 defeat to San Beda on Tuesday.ADVERTISEMENT Read Next Fire hits houses in Mandaluyong City Typhoon Kammuri accelerates, gains strength en route to PH MOST READ LOOK: Loisa Andalio, Ronnie Alonte unwind in Amanpulo for 3rd anniversary Frontrow holds fun run to raise funds for young cancer patients  Eze, though, can still get a consolation as he can still make it to the Mythical Team at the end of the season, granting that his numbers won’t dip or he won’t be ejected for Perpetual’s last four elimination games.He was earlier named as the All-Star MVP during the midseason festivities.With Eze out of the MVP race, that opens the gates for other contenders to win the hardware.Now leading the race is Lyceum’s CJ Perez, who has been averaging 18.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.5 steals through the Pirates’ current 15-0 run.Also in the running are San Beda forward Javee Mocon (12.5 points, and 10.4 rebounds, and 3.5 assists), Lyceum big man Mike Nzeusseu (10.9 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks), and Letran swingman Rey Nambatac (16.6 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 3.3 assists).ADVERTISEMENTcenter_img For the complete collegiate sports coverage including scores, schedules and stories, visit Inquirer Varsity. BSP sees higher prices in November, but expects stronger peso, low rice costs to put up fight JRU repulses St. Benilde, tightens grip on 3rd spot Brace for potentially devastating typhoon approaching PH – NDRRMC Fire hits houses in Mandaluyong City That eliminated the Altas out of the playoff race with their 4-10 record, stopping Eze from following the footsteps of Jojo Manalo and Earl Scottie Thompson as the only Alta to win the highest individual award.The 6-foot-11 center has been the pacesetter at the end of the first round after averaging 15.5 points, 17.2 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks in the 14 games he played for the Altas.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSWATCH: Drones light up sky in final leg of SEA Games torch run LATEST STORIES View comments Nonong Araneta re-elected as PFF presidentlast_img read more

Alberta Premier Rachel Notleys propipeline tour wellreceived in Calgary

first_imgCALGARY – Alberta Premier Rachel Notley took her pro-pipeline tour to the heart of the energy industry in Calgary on Friday where she urged business leaders not to let up on the message that Canada’s climate progress depends on pipeline progress.Speaking in front of the Calgary Chamber, Notley assured the audience that she has been delivering that message in person all week to audiences in Ontario in an effort to see progress on pipelines, especially with Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain project that faces resistance in British Columbia.“The time to speak up is now,” said Notley, calling on both business leaders and Albertans of all political stripes to get out and talk about climate action, pipeline safety, and the importance of the energy industry for the overall economy.“This is all about our common future. And it’s bigger than any party label. As business leaders, your voice matters.”Touting the enormous economic benefits Alberta contributes to Canada, and the need to preserve good jobs in the energy sector while making progress on the environment, Notley was thanked for her efforts with a standing ovation from a crowd that greeted her with lukewarm applause two years ago.Notley also called on the federal Liberals, as she had when in Ottawa and Toronto this week, to do more to advocate for the pipeline.“You have to step up,” she said. “This project is in the national interest, that’s why it got approved.”“Now, more than ever, Canadians need our national government to articulate, and then defend the national interest,” she added.Ian Anderson, president of Kinder Morgan Canada, thanked Notley for her strong advocacy on behalf of the project and the industry in his introduction of the premier.“You’ve been a strong and unwavering supporter of ours, and our industry. Your voice is being heard loud and clear across the country.”He noted the importance of the public relations campaign as Kinder Morgan has still yet to put shovels in the ground for a project that the federal government approved a year ago.“While we had hoped that we would have been putting Albertans to work, I can assure you we will very soon be putting Albertans to work and we will be commencing construction as soon as we possibly can on the project.”Notley takes her pipeline tour to Vancouver next week where there exists some of the fiercest opposition to a project that would nearly triple the capacity of the pipeline running from Alberta to Burnaby, B.C.last_img read more

Quarterfinal curse looms as Barca Messi look to set record straight

first_imgBarcelona: Four years have passed since Lionel Messi last reached a Champions League semi-final and his drought has become a source of unease for Barcelona ahead of their latest attempt on Tuesday. Manchester United are the ones looking to emulate Atletico Madrid, Juventus and Roma by sending Barca out in the quarters for a fourth year running but for the Catalans, another failure would be unforgivable, not least because of the implications for their captain. Also Read – Puducherry on top after 8-wkt win over Chandigarh”Last season we did the double but we all felt bad about how it went in the Champions League,” Messi said in August. “We promise this season we will do all we can to bring that beautiful cup back to Camp Nou.” Barcelona’s dominance in Spain has been shaped by Messi, who only this month overtook Iker Casillas as the player with the most La Liga victories, 335, in its history. Those wins have helped them capture seven of the last 10 league titles, a figure that will surely become eight from 11 next month, given their nine-point lead at the top of the table. Also Read – Vijender’s next fight on Nov 22, opponent to be announced laterThere could be an historic fifth consecutive Copa del Rey too if Ernesto Valverde’s side beat Valencia on May 25. But in Europe, Barca would appear under-marked, with only one success in the last seven years, three in 10 since Pep Guardiola took charge in 2008 and set in motion what has felt, in playing terms at least, like an iconic era. The list of clubs etched onto the cup hoisted at the Wanda Metropolitano on June 1 will instead show a decade swallowed up by Real Madrid, whose domestic failings in that period have been exonerated by four Champions League triumphs in five years. “Obviously it’s infuriating,” Luis Suarez said. “Madrid have made history and it’s a thorn in our side.” Messi’s record is similarly unbalanced. He has nine La Liga titles and is by a distance the competition’s top scorer, with an astonishing 414 goals. Cristiano Ronaldo, closest in second, has 311. But in the Champions League, Messi has lifted the trophy four times, a relatively modest return given it puts him on a par with 11 current Real Madrid players alone, including Nacho, Casemiro and Dani Carvajal. This year, Ronaldo is hunting his sixth. And while Messi dwarfs the Portuguese for goals in La Liga, the opposite is true in Europe, where Ronaldo has 125 goals to his 108. The game’s most illustrious pair could yet meet in this year’s final, should Barca capitalise on their 1-0 first-leg win over United and then overcome either Liverpool or Porto in the semis. Ronaldo and Juventus, meanwhile, would have to beat Ajax, and then either Manchester City or Tottenham. A showdown in Madrid would throw an even brighter glare on Messi’s record compared to Ronaldo, whose sensational hat-trick against Atletico Madrid last month only enhanced the sense this tournament belongs to him. Messi is not one to complain, particularly given he cannot be blameless in Barca’s underachievements in Europe. But the fans are frustrated, with last season’s double doing little to ease the disappointment of the collapse against Roma.last_img read more

Skeptical Football DeMarco Murray Is Way Better At Running Than Alex Henery

The second-and-short scenario is noisier than the others (since first-and-10 is far more common), but the difference is pretty clear. If you compare the horizontal gap between the lines, you can compare scenarios. For example, if a running back has the chance to go down after gaining 9 yards when 53 yards out from goal, he should only take the first down if he can get all the way to the 50-yard line. This difference seems to be tightest at midrange distances (which makes sense because the field is compressed), but it’s generally about 2 to 4 yards.So, if it’s first down and you see a rusher or receiver stretch out for that last yard, boo loudly.Gunslinger of the weekThe fickleness of the Hacker Gods5Don’t worry, you don’t need to pray to the Hacker Gods. You need to pray that the Hacker Gods exist. was on complete display last week, as they decided to let interceptions slide: Twenty quarterbacks threw picks at one point or another, and 10 of them won their games anyway.6In Week 2, only one QB won with any interceptions. This past week, Drew Brees had three interceptions, including a pick-6 with his team trailing — the coup de grace of the gunslinger — and his team still pulled off the win!Blake Bortles — the only rookie quarterback who saw any action last weekend — was not among the winners. He threw two interceptions in the Jacksonville Jaguars’ competitive loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday.Most notably, on second-and-12, down 10-9 in the fourth quarter, the Jaguars’ coaches called a run, but Bortles called an audible for a pass. That pass was picked off and returned for a touchdown, and Jacksonville lost 17-9.Here’s what Bortles had to say after the game:It was a run. I just saw guys walk up. It wasn’t a good decision. We could have kept the run on and it wouldn’t have been a bad play. It would have given us a shot and it’s something that I can’t make that mistake again and definitely can’t check out of play into a pick-6.No! Don’t listen to the haters, Blake! Your instinct was right. Second-and-12 on your own side of the field is a terrible time to run in general (see our experimental chart of the week, below), and even worse if it’s late in a game you’re losing. Blake, to try to ensure you keep slinging, you get this week’s Gunslinger of the Week award. May it guide you in future games.Kicking awards for Week 5Last week, I introduced my system for evaluating the most and least valuable kickers. It plots points above and below expectation versus how much the kicker contributed to a game’s scoring margin.But then Alex Henery’s 0-for-3 week for Detroit broke the scale:To get it out of the way: San Francisco’s Phil Dawson is the MVK for Week 5. He went 5-for-5 including two 50+ yarders in a close win against the Kansas City Chiefs. Bravo!But on to the fun stuff: Henery essentially produced the Lions’ loss against the Buffalo Bills all by himself. If he’d made as many field goals as he was expected to, all else being equal, the Lions would have won. (The Lions released him after the game.)The three attempts Henery missed were from 44, 47 and 50 yards out (making him 1-for-5 on the season). Historically, this might not seem like the worst stretch imaginable, and Grantland’s Bill Barnwell had this to say about the ordeal:Imagine judging a hitter based on his batting average over a six-game stretch or an NBA player based on his shooting percentage after two games. That’s about what we do when we judge a kicker, who gets 35 chances to test his mettle across an entire 16-game season.But context matters. NFL kickers don’t miss from those distances the way they used to.7The expected value of kicks on that scale is calculated based on a probit regression over every kick since 2001 that includes the year that the kick was taken as a variable. Kickers now make roughly two-thirds of their FGs taken from 50+ yards and four-fifths of those taken from 40 to 49 yards. Based on my expected-value model (which adjusts for the year that kicks were taken), Henery’s -6.73 points below expectation in the game amounted to the tenth-worst single day by a kicker since 2001 (a period that includes more than 7,000 kicker games). But Kris Brown, a longtime kicker for Pittsburgh and Houston, had the second-worst day by a kicker for the Steelers in 2001, and then the best day by a kicker for the Texans in 2007. So a kicker can bounce back.Meanwhile, Detroit fell to 4-for-12 on field goals for the season. The entire league has only missed 44 attempts this year. That’s right, Detroit is responsible for nearly 20 percent of all missed field goals in the NFL this season! The single worst team kicking season since 2001 belongs to San Francisco in 2012. The Niners missed 14 field goals and ran 20.6 kicking points below expectation for the whole year.Through five games, the Lions are already running 16.6 kicking points below expectation. But Detroit signed former Bronco Matt Prater to try to dig it out of this hole. Prater had one of the best seasons by a kicker of all time last year, but he has been inconsistent, posting negative value added in four of his seven seasons in the league. If Prater isn’t in good form, Detroit may be the new bad kicking champions.Experimental chart(s) of the weekRiffing off the play/drive data I used for the chart of the week, I decided to take a look at whether running or passing is more effective in various situations. This chart uses the same distance and average points as the earlier chart, but it’s split into first, second and third downs with 10 yards to go.8Going for it on fourth-and-10 is too rare to be meaningful. It then plots the ultimate success of the drive when a pass is attempted versus when a run is attempted in those situations.From this, we can see that passing has led to better results in nearly any long-yardage situation. This is a little surprising, especially on first down. Game theoretically, if teams are selecting whether to run or pass optimally, and defending optimally, the value from each should be very similar. It’s possible that, on the margins, running and passing do have the same value,9In which case, it would be similar to what I’ve said about NBA 3-point attempts. but from the bubble sizes, we can see that the pass/run ratio is relatively even on first down, so it seems more likely to me that teams are just running in this spot too much.Similarly, we can look at short-yardage spots to see if those situations differ. The chart below is the same as the one above, except it looks at second, third and fourth downs with less than 3 yards to go.10Technically, I’m using “and-1” and “and-2” distances, which includes all distances between 0 and 2 yards, and possibly some distances between 2 yards and 3 yards, as discussed in last week’s column. Running data doesn’t always show what it appears to show, and the “eye test” doesn’t help much either. Our meager human eyes can’t really track the multitude of complex variables involved in whether a running play is successful or not. As I wrote last week, whether a team runs the ball is largely a function of whether it’s ahead or behind. A running back’s productivity is even more a function of role, quality of offense, and the situations his team gets into than it is for a QB. This makes it especially hard to judge outliers (and I love outliers).But the Cowboys have been playing competitive games in which Murray has been very consistent, and he has earned his yards in an extremely impressive fashion.One way to cut down on situational factors3Of course, to be even more accurate, it can help to do a situation-for-situation comparison, like I did for Jamaal Charles and Peterson in my NFC West preview. is to look only at first-and-10 runs that aren’t near the goal line. Like so:Murray has gained an average of 6.4 yards on these runs, compared to a league average of 4.4.His distribution of runs has been great as well. I’ve been critical of running backs (like Peterson) who put up big stats by breaking a lot of long runs but who get stopped too often, making their game like a less-efficient version of the passing game. But that’s not the case for Murray, thus far. He is breaking long runs at the same rate as a back like Peterson, yet Murray has only eight runs for no gain or loss of yardage (10.7 percent, or about half of Peterson’s career average of 22.2 percent). Moreover, Murray’s median run has been 5 yards, which compares favorably even to passing in the same situation, with a median distance of 4 yards. Through the first five games, Murray has been the ideal running back: consistently gaining positive yardage, setting up favorable second-down situations (he leads the league in runs of 7 to 9 yards), and still a threat to go the distance.Chart of the weekOne of my favorite mini-stats from the Murray first-and-10 data is that Murray has five runs this year of exactly4Inasmuch as these things are exact. 9 yards, and none of exactly 10 yards.This is smart! Running for 9 yards on first-and-10 outside of 25 yards from the goal is pretty much always better than running for 10. Getting to second-and-short is more valuable than getting a first down because it leads to a flexible situation and forces the defense to prepare for a wider variety of plays.Here’s the easiest way to understand this: A team is trading one down and one yard for the privilege of having only one yard to gain. Since the team will gain that one yard a high percentage of the time, it has a lot of flexibility: It can rush or sneak to try to pick up the first down (and collect bonus yards in the process), or it can launch a deep pass knowing that, barring a sack or a turnover, it will likely still have a short-yardage play on third down. The opponent has to defend everything from short-yardage runs to deep passes at once, meaning it defends each a little worse than usual.Those two yards before first down, then, are a sweet spot for offenses. How sweet is the sweet spot? Using drive data since 2001, I looked at how many points a possession produced on average, given its spot on the field, when it was second-and-short (defined as second-and-2 or less) versus first-and-10: Dallas Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray is kinda killing it this year. Through five games, he’s leading the league in rushing by more than 200 yards1His 134 yards per game is more than 30 percent higher than second-place Arian Foster’s 101. — and he’s run for 100 or more yards in every game. He’s even getting MVP buzz, and with his help Dallas is 4-1, tied for the best record in football.Normally I don’t care much about running back stats. RBs have crazy seasons all the time, often signifying very little. This level of performance, for example, is pretty out of character for Murray and Dallas (which has been 8-8 in every year they’ve been together). Seasons like this usually come in two main flavors:The outlier running back has a featured role in some fancy new (usually QB-driven) offense. Examples include Edgerrin James and Marshall Faulk with Indianapolis, LaDanian Tomlinson with San Diego or Marshall Faulk with St. Louis.The outlier back’s stats are a kind of corrupt bargain with defenses that are willing to let the back put up big numbers while otherwise keeping the offense somewhat in check. Likely examples include Adrian Peterson, Barry Sanders and Chris Johnson.2The year Johnson had 2,000 yards, the Tennessee Titans went 8-8. Of the seven times when a running back broke 2,000 yards in a season, only one player — Terrell Davis for John Elway’s Denver Broncos in 1998 — did so on a team that won more than 10 games (or even made it out of the first round of the playoffs). For short distances, it seems that running — on average — produces slightly better results. I was a little surprised by the second-and-short result, since (as previously discussed) this can be a great down for taking shots downfield. But the difference between the two is small, and the results may also be skewed slightly if teams are more likely to run when their chances of picking up a first down are better (such as in second-and-inches situations).On balance, the charts are fascinating to contemplate, but the takeaway is pretty basic, and so obvious that it’s almost counterintuitive: With long distances to first down passing is generally better, and with short distances running is generally better.Most empirically significant game of Week 6When teams do well despite “bad QB play,” it may not actually mean that their QBs are playing badly. Football is a game of limited resources. If a team’s QB is getting the job done, the GM may devote the team’s resources elsewhere.For example, say a GM has $130 million to spend (around the current NFL salary cap). He spends $65 million on offense and $65 million on defense. He pays the team’s quarterback $10 million, leaving $55 million for the rest of the team’s offense. The QB develops into a big-time stud, which leaves two options: The GM can keep spending the same amount on offense as on defense and end up with an above-average offense and an average defense; or, maybe the QB is good enough to produce an average offense with only a $35 million supporting cast, allowing that $20 million savings to be spent on improving the defense. It might not be pretty (especially for the QB), but whether the team’s wins come through offense or defense doesn’t matter to the GM. Why not have an average offense and a better defense?11Or special teams, or coach, or anything — and this applies to resources other than money, but money is the easiest to examine.This is more than just a thought experiment: The Baltimore Ravens have just $33 million devoted to non-quarterback offensive players — the lowest amount in the league and just 35 percent of their non-starting QB expenditures. In other words, aside from Joe Flacco, the Ravens have distributed their money nearly 2-to-1 in favor of defense. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles have more than $63 million devoted to offensive players other than their highest-paid QB.12Technically, the Eagles’ highest-paid QB is Mark Sanchez. That means Nick Foles is starting out with a 2-to-1 money advantage.13Idea for future article: quarterback ratings adjusted for the salary of the rest of the offense!Which brings us to the most empirically significant game of Week 6: the Carolina Panthers vs. the Cincinnati Bengals.QBs like Andy Dalton and Cam Newton have been eclipsed somewhat by young stars like Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick, but the Seahawks and 49ers rank third and sixth in non-QB offensive expenditures, respectively. The Panthers and Bengals rank 15th and 23rd, respectively, by that measure. The Bengals have 38 percent of their cap space devoted to non-QB offense — as a share of non-QB salaries, that’s the fourth-lowest in football.Newton has about a $6 million spending advantage over Dalton. Seeing these two solid QBs on teams that don’t spend like crazy on offense go head to head may help us understand how financial considerations affect the game.Charts by Reuben Fischer-Baum. read more